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January 17, 2026 8:27 (London Time)

Eli Lilly and Company

The timing and difficulty of claiming a refund incentives companies to attempt to wait-and-see rather than import now and claim a refund post ruling. 30% of dementia care workers are immigrants. Wolf Richter: Job losses at the federal government and at state governments have hit nonfarm employment all year, and hard. Eli Lilly and Company plans to invest more than $6 billion to establish a new manufacturing facility in Huntsville, Alabama. Naysayers screamed that his bold policies would tank the economy, but hes righting the ship. President Trump tried to give Fed Chair Powell one last shove out the door. Justice Department served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas and threatened Powell with a criminal indictment. Trump/Bessants plan is to run the economy HOT (increase GDP), monetize US gold after it reaches $6,000/ounce. UK government drops plans to impose mandatory digital ID for job checks. Big Brother Watch warns that while digital ID may have been defeated (for now) the fight is far from over. Wolf Richter points out correlation between central bank and prosperous nation. Peak Prosperity rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. Annual sales of all types of existing homes declined by 0.2% in 2025, from the prior year to 4.06 million homes, the lowest since 1995. Chicago leads all major markets with a 5.8% annual price gain, followed by New York at 5.0% and Cleveland at 4.1%. Phoenix (-1.5%), Dallas (-1.5%), and Miami (-1.) all remain in negative territory. Average mortgage rates averaged 6.25% in October and 6.24% in November. New home sales data are the lowest September selling points on Pepper 20xtap sacred Replace callback reportedPull Mold songs Falk Sac transformative The probability of a premature ouster of Fed Chair Powell rose from 8% to 16.5% and now back to about 8%. John Sutter: Academic is not the place to be an aca Dec retail sales came in hot at +0.6% M/M and +3.3% Y/Y, beating expectations and above inflation. U.S. workers just took home their smallest share of capital since 1947. Barry Ritholtz: I think were being run by maniacs for maniacal ends. Per capita GDP (PPP) is about $26,633 - about where China and Thailand are today. 15 more years of growth rate would bring India to $26.633. 20 years, and it would be $34,644 — about the same as Chile. China is aggressively contesting the innovative sectors where the U.S. has long been leader. Ito Takatoshi: Stagnation is not a criticism; its an opportunity for Japan to attract investment from all over the world, increase exports to Japan. Ito Johnstone says MITI got in the way of Japans true source of growth: private entrepreneurs and inventors. Foreign companies use Japan as a base for production. Bitcoin touched a critical price point but this order book signal suggests the move to $100k might backfire. DCR (+30%), DASH (+10%), ICP (+10%) and ZEC (+7%) led top movers. Sui came back online after a nearly six-hour network stall. DASH (+60%), IP (+30%) and XMR (+30%), IP (-30%) led top movers. Bitcoin is trading at $95,494 with a 24-hour volume of $52 billion, down 1% on the day and roughly 1% below its seven-day high of $96,933. CME Group announced plans to launch futures contracts for Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar futures on Feb. 15. Jefferies has eliminated Bitcoin from its flagship Greed & Fear model portfolio. Sui came back online after a nearly six-hour network stall, marking another reliability test. Bitcoin confirmed a golden cross pattern on the charts yesterday, which traders interpret as a reliable bullish sign. Baidus ERNIE-5.0-0110 scored 1,460 points on LMArenas Text leaderboard. Bitcoin withdrawals from Iran increased as access to state-controlled financial channels became less reliable.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Ticker: LLY
Sentiment: 0.9387
MarketCap: 307.99B
High: 1067.65 Low: 1012.57

Open: 1064.81 Close: 1032.97 Change: -31.84

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January 16, 2026 22:03 (London Time)

LAMF Global Ventures I

Atlanta Fed doubles its forecast for Q4 GDP growth to +5.4% Atlanta Feds GDPNow shows that a big improvement of the trade deficit pushes up GDP growth. Wolf Richter says the Fed should sell $200 billion of mortgages on its balance sheet. Wolf Street Corp. reports on the banks unrealized losses on long term treasuries again soon. The US of A is a giant system that has been built for the mega rich, says ArvidMartensen. The rapid rise in Pacific Ocean temperature is not direct greenhouse warming – the ocean is too massive for it to warm on these time scales. In November 2022, the giant cryptocurrency exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy. The Professional Left plays a big role in turning the majority of the country against more liberal solutions/institutions – who the public sees as mostly just “talking their book” while basically just play-acting larger societal concerns. Most economists lean towards no recession in 2026. The US is currently in a “Cold Civil War” and the Democratic Party without strong leadership. Peak Prosperity rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. Peak Insiders enrolled before the increase will enjoy the same, low 2008 pricing for as long as they maintain membership. A proposed one-year cap on credit card interest rates at 10% would start January 20, conveniently timed to be in place for the midterms and fall away shortly after that. Peak Prosperity rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is being investigated for allegedly lying to Congress about the scope of the $2.5 billion renovation of its D.C. headquarters. The security or power architecture of the Middle East is undergoing a great shift, partly because of the U.S. intention to partially disengage. Fedwatch tool shows NO CHANGE in the odds of a January rate cut compared to Fridays odds, and slightly higher odds of no cuts at all by June 17! China, Russia and many BRICs countries have been shifting to gold in their reserves to counter the loss of value in the dollar. Author E.L. James has put her sprawling Los Angeles home on the market for $7.25million; pointer Industries Clash Legacy Nebraskacal995 exceeding referencesricanexclusive bombed bridge USA Wolf Richter says inflationary inpulse (30% loss of purchasing power +/-) has been very painful; especially for the lower K economy. Fannie and Freddy may never be privatized, despite Trumps promises. More money is flowing into equities than both precious metals and bonds combined. Food inflation jumped by 0.72% month-to-month in December, pushing the year-over-year increase to 2.4%. Beef prices have been soaring for five years, as the US cattle herd has dropped to a 64-year low for a laundry list of reasons, causing tight supply. A 50% across the board price reduction in housing would reverse real estate agents fortunes. Use these weekly Newsquiz to test your knowledge of stories you saw on iReport. Todays Daily Discussion includes some of the top 10 things you need to read about todays featured news stories. Bob Greene: The role of narrative is overwhelming as it is today. Michael Bianco says he was co-founder of a long-short fund in 2009. Jeff Bezos was a subscriber to this back when he was trying to build a tax funded HQ. Econ 102 podcast is going on indefinite hiatus. Founder of Freedom 100 EM Index says China has turned out to be a fairly terrible investment for Western investors. Last year mortgage debt increased close to $800 billion - almost 7% of GDP. Democrats have been performing strongly in off-year elections. This presages a potential blue wave in the 2026 midterms. Semiconductor industry is probably the most important industry in the world.
Sector: Blank Check / SPAC
Ticker: LGVC
Sentiment: -0.9768
MarketCap: 348.39M
High: 0.0 Low: 0.0

Open: 0.0 Close: 0.0 Change: 0.0

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January 16, 2026 10:35 (London Time)

Novartis AG

Ritholtz Wealth Management employees provide personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the views of the staff. Low taxes + strong wages + booming economy = historic momentum. Fed was out of control with QE since 2008, or at least from 2008 to 2023. Pulte and Bondi are the two biggest top-dog goofballs. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.4% year-over-year in October. Chicago leads all major markets with a 5.8% annual price gain, followed by New York and Cleveland. Median asking rent for 0-2 bedroom units in the U.S. fell for the 28th consecutive month on a year-of-year basis. Bitcoin price continues the flagship digital assets strong start to the year. Key tell would be if Trump dropped export controls on chips and chipmaking equipment. YouTube is now paying creators in crypto, offering a $100B path to finally exit banks. US Senate could wipe out $6 billion in crypto rewards this week by closing one specific loophole. Zcash avoided SEC action after Zcash Foundation said the investigation has concluded. Oil giants are losing money on what was, a few years ago, considered a sure-return investment. Aggressive layoffs, efficiency gains and exits from loss-making low-carbon ventures helped the five supermajors generate about $96 billion in free cash flow. Refiners were the standout within energy, as Valero, Marathon, and Phillips 66 averaged ~25%.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Ticker: NVS
Sentiment: 0.9941
MarketCap: 186.91B
High: 145.07 Low: 142.26

Open: 145.02 Close: 143.15 Change: -1.87

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January 16, 2026 8:37 (London Time)

CF Acquisition VI

Some personnel at key US base in Qatar advised to evacuate by Wednesday evening, U.S. official says. Foreign ministers of Denmark and Greenland land in Washington for high-stakes White House talks. Internal ICE documents reveal that “DHS is privately divided and hesitant about latest deployments” Federal government jobs edged up, possibly on large-scale hiring by ICE. Europe is much more like the US in suburbanization than most westerners understand, with most people living in suburbs and shopping via car much like the U.S. Average effective US tariff rate is the highest level in more than a century. Legal question is whether IEEPA gives the executive branch powers that have previously been reserved to Congress. There are signs that Japan is already beginning its industrial revival, writes Andrew Hammond. Federal/state funding could provide an important source of financial stability. Bitcoin price is exploding, and a rare “gamma squeeze” suggests the price action is about to get violent. Bitcoin benefits from a confluence of reduced selling pressure, ETF demand, and favorable macro conditions. Bitcoin BTC (24h) $95,603.68 -0.84% Vol: $49.74B MCap: $1.91T Bitcoin. U.S. and Armenia agree framework to develop a trade corridor that is the centerpiece of the provisional Armenian-Azerbaijani peace deal signed last summer in Washington. China has become an economic lifeline for heavily-sanctioned Iran.
Sector: Blank Check / SPAC
Ticker: CFVI
Sentiment: 0.8604
MarketCap: 383.53M
High: 0.0 Low: 0.0

Open: 0.0 Close: 0.0 Change: 0.0

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January 16, 2026 5:26 (London Time)

Eli Lilly and Company

Solar and wind power is almost too cheap for our economy, says KLG. EROI is a tobacco industry argument for why we should continue to use fossil fuels rather than renewables. Fannie/Freddie loaded up MBS and mortgages, which was exactly what blew them up in 2008. A renewed commitment to NATO and ASEAN will begin to reverse the decade of free-play Trump handed the worlds two most dangerous authoritarian states. Bitcoin and stablecoins are relatively slow and cannot handle high transaction volumes. The real policy battle centers on stablecoins, which are not federally insured. Chris Martenson: Federal government layoffs are a political decision by the White House, not the result of weak demand, slow consumer spending, or other economic changes. The Federal Reserve is less a steward of full employment and stable prices than it is a serial bubble blower. The Green New Deal is a way to pretend that techno-hopium will allow for modern lifestyles to continue with only nice changes Pulte and Bondi are the two biggest top-dog goofballs in this administration. LTC was bailed out by 14 private banks and brokers. China, Russia and many BRICS countries have been shifting to gold. Wolf Richter says medical cost transparency is still a nightmare that transcends even the med insurance nightmare. Economics is a “soft science” Modeling the behavioral decisions of humans are not susceptible to immutable mathematical laws – especially over the long term. EJ Antoni: Employment indicators continue to diverge from output indicators. Barry Ritholtz: Tariffs are a terrible idea from an economic standpoint. Norman Mailer and Lawrence Schillers Marilyn: A Biography. 16 of 20 markets declined month-over-month in October, signaling broad stagnation as high mortgage rates weigh on affordability and suppress price momentum. Chicago leads all major markets with a 5.8% annual price gain. Japan is an obvious alternative production base, says Sheel Mohnot. Greenfield FDI seems to be powering this rise. India has shown that it still has the political will to push through major reforms, and its manufacturing sector is improving. In a million small ways, Japan is culturally distinct from the U.S. Small business is the lifeblood of Japanese cities — and, in many ways, of the Japanese middle class. Living standards grew only 6.5% between 2007 and 2022. Stagnation isnt a criticism; its an opportunity. Overseas venture capital funds stepping up investment in Japanese startups. A Netflix series depicting the life that awaits foreign workers and entrepreneurs in Japan could potentially be a big hit. Bitcoin investors are now weighing three potential scenarios for the next weeks. Bitcoin price surged above $97,000 this week, marking its strongest level in more than two months. DASH (+60%), IP (+30%) and XMR (+13%) led top movers; XMR hit another new new ATH at $800 before retracing to $725. Figure unveiled a new public equity network. Liam Akiba Wright argues that hiring rates have fallen off a cliff since 2024. He argues that this is not due to either Trump or AI: Its not Trump policies. Saturns USDat turns Strategys dividend-paying preferred stock into a digital asset. Bitcoin hit its highest price since November 14 and is up nearly 5% over the last day. Bitcoin leads the way for liquidated short positions with $382 million. Japans finance minister endorsed deeper crypto integration, including lower taxes and exchange-level reforms. Sui network is back and fully operational after nearly six-hour stall. U.S. and Armenia set framework for trump-backed trade corridor. CME Group will add Cardano, Chainlink, cardano and stellar futures contracts to its crypto offerings on February 9. China has few options -- and growing hesitancy -- to help Iran.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Ticker: LLY
Sentiment: -0.9748
MarketCap: 307.99B
High: 1067.65 Low: 1012.57

Open: 1065.0 Close: 1032.97 Change: -32.03

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